Keepers Fantasy Football
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Week 10 Preview

Ryan's Picks Record:
Last Week: 5-1
Overall: 32-22

KFFL AI Picks Record:
Last Week: 5-2
Overall: 37-26

KFFL AI Picks for Week 10:
teamAlaska (4-5) over Pack Attack (4-5)
DaUnderdog (6-3) over 16hrs Ahead of You!! (6-3)
Big Papa (5-4) over PackerFANatic7 (4-5)
U Don't Know (5-4) over BIGBOY! (2-7)
Bossman (6-3) over pack slayer (3-6)
HHH (8-1) over Starrfavrerodg (5-4)
Rapids Plungers (4-5) over Sportsfreak (1-8)

Five weeks left, and the bye weeks have saved some of their worst for now. 16hrs alone is without five players. DaUnderdog, Big Papa, teamAlaska and BIGBOY! all have holes to patch too. Six teams have a starter in tonight's Commanders–Giants game, so the scoreboard starts moving before most of us have set a lineup. And for the first time this season, a team can be officially knocked out.

The Playoff Picture

Sportsfreak can be eliminated this week. It happens if Sportsfreak loses to Rapids Plungers and any two of these three things happen:

  • U Don't Know beats BIGBOY!
  • Big Papa beats PackerFANatic7
  • Starrfavrerodg beats HHH

Nobody can clinch a spot yet, not even 8-1 HHH. The math won't allow it until at least next week. Right now the top four (HHH, Bossman, DaUnderdog and 16hrs) are all at 89.8% or better. The last two spots are a three-way scramble between U Don't Know (50.9%), Starrfavrerodg (47.8%) and Pack Attack (45.6%), with Rapids Plungers and Big Papa both around 25% and close behind. These are sure things only; teams can also get in or out on the points-for tiebreaker, which can't be known until the games are played.

Pack Attack (4-5) vs teamAlaska (4-5) — GAME OF THE WEEK

Brother battle, and the biggest playoff swing on the board. Pack Attack is at 57.9% to make the playoffs with a win and 21.2% with a loss, a 36 point swing. teamAlaska goes from 20.9% with a win to 2.6% with a loss. Whoever loses this one is 4-6 and in serious trouble. Pack Attack leads this series 16-8 and won last year's meeting 150.08 to 130.32, but teamAlaska won the only playoff meeting, back in 2008.

Pack Attack is in a world of hurt. All four of their top four draft picks are out this week: P Nacua is ruled out, J Love and L Jackson are on IR, and E Egbuka is on bye. The new quarterback is J Brissett (12.80), now on his third team this season after BIGBOY! and Rapids Plungers, and he doesn't play until Monday night. T Pollard (10.00) is back from his bye, M Golden (12.29) is coming off a 34.20 point week, and T Atwell (6.73) is in the flex. Pack Attack is projected under 100 (98.10) for the first time all season!

teamAlaska has lost two straight and needs to find a kicker, with C McLaughlin on bye, but fill that and they project at about 108. D Maye (18.61) is projected highest in the game and plays in the early game in Detroit, along with A.J. Brown (questionable), H Henry (questionable) and S LaPorta. J Taylor (13.52) and Z Flowers (12.82, Monday night) round it out.

Prediction:

I don't pick my own games, so this one goes to the KFFL AI, and it likes teamAlaska at 55.1%. With the kicker filled, teamAlaska is up by about nine on paper, and Pack Attack is playing without its four best players. The case for Pack Attack is that the series has been lopsided for twenty years, M Golden is coming off 34.20 points, and J Brissett gets the Monday night game to finish things off. The case for teamAlaska is simple: D Maye against what's left of this Pack Attack roster. The KFFL AI's pick is teamAlaska.

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 24
  • Record: Advantage Pack Attack at 16-8
  • PPG Avg: Advantage Pack Attack 122.19 to 108.34
  • Current Streak: Pack Attack W1
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — Pack Attack 150.08, teamAlaska 130.32
  • Playoff Meetings: 1 (teamAlaska leads 1-0)

16hrs Ahead of You!! (6-3) vs DaUnderdog (6-3)

Third place against fourth, both 6-3, and it comes with a twist. DaUnderdog is the luckiest team in the history of this league. Over 23 seasons they have won 149 games when their scoring says they should have won 133. That is 16 extra wins, more than twice as many as anybody else; Big Papa is second at about 7. And 16hrs? The third unluckiest team in league history, more than 7 wins short of what their scoring has earned. So of course this is the week 16hrs is missing five players.

C Williams, B Irving, R Odunze, D Smith and D Cooper are all on bye, and M Wilson is out for the season. That leaves D Lock (questionable, 13.83) at quarterback and new pickups P Strong Jr. and K Boutte in the lineup. J Gibbs (19.65) is projected highest in the game and plays in the early game. 16hrs has won three straight and scored 128.8 a game this season. They might need all of it.

To be fair to DaUnderdog, this season they have earned it: 6-3 and winning about two-thirds of their all-play games. They have holes of their own this week, with J Coleman, W Lutz and B Nix on bye and an empty D slot, but patch those and they project at about 114. T Lawrence (17.21) and C McCaffrey (17.07) lead the way, and S Diggs plays tonight. DaUnderdog leads this series 15-9, won last year's meeting 86.55 to 81.39 and won the only playoff meeting. The KFFL AI has DaUnderdog at 68.5%. If they win, you know what everybody is going to say.

Prediction: As mentioned the bye weeks are hitting 16hrs really hard. Outside of J Gibbs there really isn't any other player I trust. With that said, Gibbs is about as good as it gets when you are looking at a guy to put up huge points and lead your team to victory. DaUnderdog has some byes but not too bad and I expect that Lawrence, CMC, Higgins, Bowers and a sneaky good week from Warren should be plenty enough for them to get the W! DaUnderdog with the win!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 24
  • Record: Advantage DaUnderdog at 15-9
  • PPG Avg: Advantage DaUnderdog 107.55 to 101.95
  • Current Streak: 16hrs L1
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — 16hrs 81.39, DaUnderdog 86.55
  • Playoff Meetings: 1 (DaUnderdog leads 1-0)

Big Papa (5-4) vs PackerFANatic7 (4-5)

PackerFANatic7 has won three straight and is a game out of a playoff spot which is crazy as this team looked all but out of it three weeks ago. Big Papa had its three-game streak snapped and is at 25.4% for the playoffs. This is the second biggest playoff swing of the week, and it matters to Sportsfreak too: a Big Papa win is one of the results that can knock them out.

PackerFANatic7's Dallas stack is back on Sunday afternoon against the 49ers: D Prescott (16.81), C Lamb (16.23, projected highest in the game) and B Aubrey. B Tuten (questionable, 11.90) is the running back they traded J Warren to get, L Burden III is on bye, and A Williams and C Okonkwo play tonight. Big Papa has J Goff (questionable, 17.55) at quarterback, J Jefferson (13.51) going against the Packers, and R White and the Commanders D playing tonight. C Loveland and S Barkley are on bye. Big Papa leads the series 5-4, but PackerFANatic7 won last year's meeting. The KFFL AI has Big Papa at 53.5%.

Prediction: This is a tough one to call and I expect it to be one of the better games of the week. PackerFANatic7 has been rolling and I think I am going to stick with the hot team this week and pick PackerFANatic7 with the win and back to .500 on the season!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 9
  • Record: Advantage Big Papa at 5-4
  • PPG Avg: Advantage Big Papa 108.82 to 100.24
  • Current Streak: Big Papa L1
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — Big Papa 92.2, PackerFANatic7 107.44

BIGBOY! (2-7) vs U Don't Know (5-4)

BIGBOY! has lost four straight and is at 1.0% chance of making the playoffs. U Don't Know has lost two straight and is clinging to the fifth spot at 50.9%. A U Don't Know win is another of the results that can eliminate Sportsfreak. The series is dead even at 8-8.

C.J. Stroud (15.03) starts again after scoring 42.01 in his BIGBOY! debut. But J Jacobs is out, C Godwin Jr. and D Goedert are on bye, and T.J. Hockenson, D Samuel Sr. and G Wilson are all questionable. U Don't Know has J Allen (20.85), A St. Brown (questionable, 16.68) and G Kittle (12.21). And once again the bench is a puzzle: DK Metcalf (9.66) sits while E Chism III (4.08) and C Kupp (5.01) start, and P Mahomes (16.07) is on the bench again. The KFFL AI has U Don't Know at 57.6%.

Prediction: I have a lot of respect for our two time defending champion but this is just not their year! However, with that said I expect they actually come out and play really well this week and find a way to get the win over a tough U Don't Know team. Now, I will say that this pick is made assuming that Deebo, Hockenson and Wilson all play. I am going with BIGBOY! to keep their slim playoff hopes alive for one more week at least!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 16
  • Record: Dead even at 8-8
  • PPG Avg: Advantage U Don't Know 120.96 to 119.03
  • Current Streak: BIGBOY! L1
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — BIGBOY! 101.36, U Don't Know 148.23

Bossman (6-3) vs pack slayer (3-6)

Bossman has won three straight against pack slayer, and when it counts it hasn't been close: Bossman is 4-0 against pack slayer in the playoffs. Bossman is at 94.6% playoff odds and J Smith-Njigba (22.88) is projected highest of anybody in this game. J Burrow (18.93) plays Sunday night, and T Shough (16.83) sits on the bench again as the best backup quarterback in the league.

pack slayer is 3-6 and at 4.2% playoff odds with the toughest remaining schedule in the league. K Walker III (17.47) leads the way after last week's 35.85, D Swift is on bye, and W Marks and C Tate are questionable. The KFFL AI has Bossman at 59.2%.

Prediction: It's really hard to pick against Bossman right now. Burrow is on a heater and of course JSN should get his points. The trade of Allen to SF is a fantasy benefit for sure. Bossman may have the oldest roster in the league but it just doesn't matter as they must be using that experience to their advantage. I like Bossman to get the win and put a real damper on any hope pack slayer has at making the playoffs.

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 15
  • Record: Advantage Bossman at 9-6
  • PPG Avg: Advantage Bossman 125.82 to 118.11
  • Current Streak: Bossman W3
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — Bossman 96.38, pack slayer 77.23
  • Playoff Meetings: 4 (Bossman leads 4-0)

HHH (8-1) vs Starrfavrerodg (5-4)

HHH has won eight straight and is going for nine. But Starrfavrerodg owns this series, 4-2, and the last time they met it wasn't close: Starrfavrerodg 152.96, HHH 77.33. This game matters to Sportsfreak too: a Starrfavrerodg win is the third result that can knock them out.

J Warren (12.42) makes his HHH debut after his bye, J Chase (16.55) is projected highest in the game, and M Nabers plays tonight. The Bears D is on bye, so the Ravens D starts. Starrfavrerodg has switched quarterbacks yet again: A Rodgers (15.07) is back in, with K Cousins on the bench. J Waddle is on bye, and T Smack and M Garrett are questionable. Starrfavrerodg is sixth and holding the last playoff spot at 47.8%, so this one matters a lot more to them than to HHH. The KFFL AI has HHH at 66.5%.

Prediction: The matchups are really in favor of HHH this week minus J Love against that tough Vikings D. I think Starrfavrerodg will score some points but they have three guys going against that Vikings D this week. All they are hoping for is that if TD's are thrown that they come the way of Kraft or Watson! HHH though has too many weapons. They have won eight straight for a reason and I expect they make it nine after this one! HHH with the win!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 6
  • Record: Advantage Starrfavrerodg at 4-2
  • PPG Avg: Advantage Starrfavrerodg 104.70 to 99.89
  • Current Streak: HHH L1
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — HHH 77.33, Starrfavrerodg 152.96

Rapids Plungers (4-5) vs Sportsfreak (1-8)

The elimination game. Lose this one and Sportsfreak's season could officially be over before Monday night is done. Sportsfreak has lost five straight and is 1-8, the worst start in franchise history. Rapids Plungers leads the series 12-6, but Sportsfreak has beaten them twice in the playoffs and won last year's meeting 107.67 to 106.80.

Rapids Plungers needs this one too: 4-5, 25.9% playoff odds, and two straight losses. R Stevenson is doubtful and benched, so Z Charbonnet (10.79) starts. B Purdy (18.58) and B Robinson (16.49) lead the way, and C Olave (13.30) and P Washington (11.87) give them depth at receiver. Sportsfreak has J Daniels (15.45) playing tonight while B Young (16.43) sits on the bench projected higher (we all know how this is going to play out), plus T McMillan (11.67) and C Brown (11.80). The KFFL AI has Rapids Plungers at 70.4%, its most confident pick of the week.

Prediction: Does Sportsfreak have an upset in them this week? Nope! I don't see where they find enough points to win this game. Rapids Plungers has too many weapons and is playing for their playoff lives. I expect Rapids Plungers to give Sportsfreak yet another miserable fantasy week!

Historical Look at this Match-Up:

  • Regular Season Match-ups: 18
  • Record: Advantage Rapids Plungers at 12-6
  • PPG Avg: Advantage Rapids Plungers 127.64 to 119.85
  • Current Streak: Rapids Plungers L2
  • Last Meeting: 2025 — Rapids Plungers 106.8, Sportsfreak 107.67
  • Playoff Meetings: 2 (Sportsfreak leads 2-0)

My Picks

DaUnderdog over 16hrs Ahead of You!!
PackerFANatic7 over Big Papa
BIGBOY! over U Don't Know
Bossman over pack slayer
HHH over Starrfavrerodg
Rapids Plungers over Sportsfreak

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