The 2026 Playoff Race
Through week 8. Six teams make it - the dashed line is the cut. Odds come from 20,000 simulations of the games left and are updated every Tuesday. All-play % is the share of teams you would have beaten if you played everybody every week. Clinched and eliminated are exact: a team is only marked once the math is settled, whatever the odds say.
| # | Team | Record | Points | All-play % | Playoffs | #1 Seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HHH | 7-1 | 1016.35 | 58.7% | 98.0% | 54.4% |
| 2 | Bossman | 5-3 | 1112.30 | 82.7% | 90.3% | 16.7% |
| 3 | DaUnderdog | 5-3 | 1073.69 | 67.3% | 87.6% | 13.8% |
| 4 | 16hrs | 5-3 | 1046.74 | 60.6% | 82.3% | 8.2% |
| 5 | U Don't Know | 5-3 | 969.24 | 53.8% | 66.2% | 4.2% |
| 6 | Big Papa | 5-3 | 829.16 | 37.5% | 40.4% | 1.0% |
| 7 | Starrfavrerodg | 4-4 | 903.28 | 47.1% | 35.0% | 0.8% |
| 8 | Rapids Plungers | 4-4 | 896.80 | 48.1% | 34.8% | 0.7% |
| 9 | Pack Attack | 3-5 | 927.47 | 48.1% | 29.4% | 0.1% |
| 10 | teamAlaska | 4-4 | 829.06 | 41.3% | 16.8% | 0.1% |
| 11 | pack slayer | 3-5 | 902.22 | 52.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 12 | PackerFANatic7 | 3-5 | 832.72 | 36.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 13 | BIGBOY! | 2-6 | 852.71 | 38.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Sportsfreak | 1-7 | 738.26 | 26.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Week 9 Scenarios
Nobody can clinch a spot or be eliminated this week.
These are sure things. A team can also get in or out on the points-for tiebreaker, which can't be known until the games are played.