Keepers Fantasy Football

The Vault

Things the standings page will not tell you, dug out of 2,019 regular season games between 2004 and 2026. Updated after every week during the season.

The Luck Index · What It Takes To Win A Week · Scored 130+ And Lost Anyway · The Closest Games Ever · The Biggest Beatings Ever · Best and Worst Starts to a Season

The Luck Index

Every week, your score is compared against all thirteen other teams. The share you beat is the win your scoring earned. Add that up across a career and compare it to the wins you actually got, and the gap is schedule luck — no arbitrary cutoff, and no adjustment needed for scoring eras, because you are only ever measured against the same week's field. DaUnderdog has banked +15.9 wins they did not earn; HHH is owed 8.6.

TeamGamesActual WEarned WLuck
DaUnderdog299145129.1+15.9
Big Papa299147141.1+5.9
BIGBOY!216122116.2+5.8
Bossman270165160.2+4.8
Rapids Plungers242146142.0+4.0
Pack Attack299170169.8+0.2
Starrfavrerodg864444.2-0.2
U Don't Know270131131.3-0.3
pack slayer203106106.5-0.5
teamAlaska285126132.0-6.0
Sportsfreak299153160.4-7.4
16hrs285109117.0-8.0
PackerFANatic71255462.4-8.4
HHH299134142.6-8.6

What It Takes To Win A Week

Win rate by how much you scored. Scoring 100 feels like a respectable week and is in fact a losing one — teams in the 100s win barely a third of the time. The real break-even point is about 114. Across every triple-digit week in league history the win rate is 64.5%.

ScoreGamesWin rateRecord
Under 804479.4%42-405
80-8936818.8%69-299
90-9949530.1%149-346
100-10959535.3%210-385
110-11959653.4%318-278
120-12945069.8%314-136
130-13936974.3%274-95
140-14930282.5%249-53
150+41694.7%394-22

Scored 130+ And Lost Anyway

It has happened 156 times. Sorted by rate rather than raw count, because the count mostly measures how long you have been in the league.

TeamTimesGamesRate
PackerFANatic771255.6%
Rapids Plungers132425.4%
Big Papa162995.4%
Bossman142705.2%
BIGBOY!112165.1%
Pack Attack152995.0%
Sportsfreak152995.0%
16hrs142854.9%
pack slayer92034.4%
teamAlaska122854.2%
U Don't Know102703.7%
Starrfavrerodg3863.5%
DaUnderdog92993.0%
HHH82992.7%

The Closest Games Ever

Every one of these ruined somebody's week. Playoff games included.

MarginYearWeekWinnerPtsLoserPts
0.0220253Big Papa94.81Starrfavrerodg94.79
0.05201314Pack Attack playoffs158.26PackMan12158.21
0.0520175PackerFANatic7119.08PackMan12119.03
0.08201915Rapids Plungers playoffs112.12Big Papa112.04
0.0820226Bossman115.32Rapids Plungers115.24
0.1020203Big Papa117.51BIGBOY!117.41
0.14202311teamAlaska110.92Bossman110.78
0.15202310Sportsfreak113.54teamAlaska113.39

The Biggest Beatings Ever

The other end of the same list.

MarginYearWeekWinnerPtsLoserPts
135.6420186U Don't Know188.69HHH53.05
129.38201413BIGBOY!189.79teamAlaska60.41
128.7020125BIGBOY!182.69HHH53.99
118.2120159Bossman168.39Big Papa50.18
117.5020107U Don't Know223.98Big Papa106.48
117.36201013HHH190.01Big Papa72.65
116.27201010Pack Attack205.25Sportsfreak88.98
116.15202515Pack Attack playoffs174.47Starrfavrerodg58.32

Best and Worst Starts to a Season

Points scored through three weeks, out of 312 team seasons in league history. A hot start is not a season, but it is a lot easier than digging out of the other one.

Best

YearTeamRecordPoints
2020teamAlaska2-1497.22
2010Rapids Plungers3-0495.58
2007Wisconsin BIG MAC'S2-1494.35
2020Bossman3-0493.68
2015Bossman3-0482.89
2013pack slayer3-0481.78

Worst

YearTeamRecordPoints
200616hrs0-3188.2
2006DaUnderdog1-2195.34
2026Sportsfreak0-3209.96
2006Sheldon No Mercy0-3210.82
2006Big Papa1-2217.55
2006HHH1-2218.03